Blogs
The Hidden Risk Behind South Korea’s AI Stock Boom
July 14, 2026In discussion about an AI bubble, many will point out the domination of the Magnificent Seven and how they account for roughly over a third of the market capitalization of the S&P 500. But two companies on the other side of the world ...
Read moreRetail Traders Rush into Wendy’s Following Viral Reddit Post
July 13, 2026Garrett DeSimone Oscar Shih Retail-driven trading returned to the spotlight on June 24, 2026, when a viral post on Reddit's r/WallStreetBets urging investors to "Save Wendy's before it's too late" triggered a surge in buying interest. Wendy's (NYSE: WEN) shares ...
Read moreForecasting Dividends in Crises
July 10, 2026In evaluating the value of investments in different stocks and the dividend payments companies make, equity dividend analysts often weigh several factors. These may include: The formulaic approach of investing in a “safe” company that tends to pay a consistent dividend, albeit without a significant increase year-over-year. Or conversely, investing in companies that are consistently generous dividend payers with growing ...
Read moreHow Accurate Is Implied Volatility?
June 15, 2026Implied volatility (IV) is often treated as the market’s best estimate of future uncertainty and risk. But just how accurate is it in predicting actual future price variation? And is there a broader implication to the answer? To find out, ...
Read moreThe Dividend Signal Hidden in Options Prices
June 8, 2026By: Garrett DeSimone, PhD and Anton Rotach Trailing dividend yield is one of the most widely used signals in equity investing. It is also, by construction, backward-looking. It tells you what a company paid in dividends over the last twelve ...
Read moreElevated Risk Premiums
May 18, 2026Wars in the Mideast and Ukraine, oil prices up sharply year-to-date, continued tariff and trade uncertainty, a private credit mini-meltdown, rumblings about an AI bubble, and economic uncertainty at record levels—any one of these could lead to the conclusion that ...
Read moreGold: An Inconsistent Hedge
April 20, 2026Since ancient times, gold has been regarded as an enduring store of value. Buoyed by its push toward record highs last January, supporters cast it as an all-purpose hedge — against inflation, geopolitical risk, and broad-based uncertainty, all while touting ...
Read morePricing the Ceasefire – UPDATED
April 14, 2026Garrett DeSimone, PhD Oscar Shih Following the collapse of US-Iran peace talks in Pakistan, the Brent crude RND has shifted meaningfully. The mode migrated from 89 to 92 in moneyness, and the forward itself rose from $94.75 to $99.36 — ...
Read morePricing the Ceasefire: What Brent Crude Options Reveal About Conflict Risk
April 9, 2026By: Garrett DeSimone and Oscar Shih On April 8th, a two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran was announced just 90 minutes before President Trump's deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Risk appetite snapped back across asset ...
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