The 0-DTE Variance Premium: MAG7 Reward More and Punish Harder
The SEC's recent approval of Monday and Wednesday expiries for single-stock options marks a significant evolution in the options market. Until now, daily expirations have ...
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Blogs
Are the Markets More Volatile Now?
February 18, 2026The common perception among most traders and investors is that we live in increasingly uncertain times and that the markets are reacting with increased volatility and heightened event risk. Abnormal price swings due to unexpected news, whether it be economic, ...
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A Silver Bubble?
January 20, 2026It is early 2026, and certain trends from 2025 are carrying over into the new year. most prominently, the seemingly inexorable rally in precious metals continues unabated. Gold used to be the standard bearer of the complex, but now all ...
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Commodity Futures: Some Developments from 2025
December 16, 2025Commodity futures were not immune to the main themes that moved markets in 2025. As usual, geopolitics, supply/demand factors, and domestic and international economic conditions were the most significant market drivers. However, one factor in particular – economic policy uncertainty ...
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Inside the WBD Bidding War: A Look at Market-Implied Deal Probabilities
December 12, 2025Garrett DeSimone, PhD Saugat Shrestha The escalating takeover battle for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) has become a real-time case study in how market prices deal with uncertainty. Paramount Skydance’s hostile $30 per-share cash bid—launched after WBD moved forward with a ...
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Overvalued?
November 24, 2025Aggressive bull markets often lead to speculation about whether they are overvalued or fundamentally unsound and therefore susceptible to a sudden and extreme end. The current AI-powered bull market, which has been in place since ChatGPT blew on to the ...
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Big Tech’s Dominance & Rising Crash Risk
November 13, 2025On “Liberation Day”, markets experienced a sharp reset. Since that time, the subsequent rebound in U.S. equities has been led overwhelmingly by the top 10 names in the S&P500 (‘SPX’). As shown in the chart below, this portfolio, dominated by ...
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SPX 0DTE Covered Call: Optimal Strike Selection
October 21, 2025Two strategies appear to be dominating both retail and institutional trading in today's market: covered call ETFs, pulling in billions of AUM, and Zero-day-to-expiration (0DTE) options, now accounting for more than half of SPX options volume. Let’s combine the two ...
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Selling Saturdays: Weekend Risk Premia in 1DTE Put-Write Strategies
October 20, 2025The meteoric rise of 0DTE options has spawned an ecosystem of ETF and overlay strategies centered on harvesting ultra-short-term risk premia, while simultaneously attracting significant retail participation. However, ultra-short option strategies can embed unique risks distinct from traditional longer-dated options, ...
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Crude Oil and Trading OPEC
October 16, 2025As a percentage of worldwide production of crude oil, OPEC’s share remains dominant. With 13 member countries, and 10 affiliates (OPEC+), it represents 35-40% of yearly production and approximately 80% of proven reserves. It is therefore not surprising that the ...
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