Crude Oil: Implied Volatility and Geopolitical Events
The most recent geopolitical events in the Middle East have thrust crude oil back into the news. As of April 15, front month Brent crude ...
Read moreThe most recent geopolitical events in the Middle East have thrust crude oil back into the news. As of April 15, front month Brent crude ...
Read moreSince commodities are essential industrial inputs, they are sometimes used as an indicator to gauge future economic conditions. Although not as widely reported as developments in the equity and fixed income markets, recent price action in certain commodity markets may ...
Read moreIn the early days of the war in Ukraine, commodities in the energy and agriculture sectors displayed the most significant shocks. This was not surprising: Ukraine is a major global supplier of wheat, corn, soybeans, and barley, with an estimated ...
Read moreThe uncertain outlook for inflation and Fed policy has caused Treasury yields to fluctuate significantly in 2023. The Fed’s tightening has exposed weaknesses in the banking sector, as evidenced by the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), which has resulted ...
Read moreThe recent spikes in implied volatility due to the fallout from SVB were not just confined to equity and fixed income. Less reported on and less appreciated, commodities were affected as well. Although their movements in price and implied volatility ...
Read more0DTE options are the latest novelty in derivative markets. These options are listed daily and expire at market close on the same day. Since their inception last year, the popularity of this product among investors has skyrocketed, peaking at over ...
Read moreLast week marked the one year anniversary of the start of the war in Ukraine, and the ultimate outcome is as unclear as it was a year ago. War is never predictable (as Mike Tyson put it, “Everybody has a ...
Read moreFrom the War in Ukraine, to supply chain issues, rising energy prices and inflation, and Fed rate hikes, 2022 was an eventful year, to say the least. It was also characterized by heightened volatility in the US and Europe, as ...
Read moreOne investing theme in 2022 was the failure of tail-risk hedges amid a grinding bear market. The performance of protective put strategies, an oft touted hedge to down markets, was suboptimal. As a baseline example, the CBOE 5% Put Protection ...
Read moreIndustry research has empirically proven different types of calendar anomalies. Most scholars have a difficult time rationalizing these phenomena, and many even dismiss them. In this series, we look to elaborate on these anomalies in the equity market and extend ...
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