• Skip to main content
  • Skip to footer

OptionMetrics

search
  • About Us
    • Who We Serve
    • Why OptionMetrics
    • Leadership
  • Data Products
    • Equities
      • United States
      • United States Intraday
      • Europe
      • Asia
      • Canada
      • ETFs
    • Futures
    • Signed Volume
    • Implied Beta
    • Dividend
      • Implied Dividend
      • Dividend Forecasting
  • Research
  • Blog
  • News & Events
  • Careers
  • Contact

G. Hu and H. Malloch: Estimating the Intertemporal Risk Return Relation Using Option Implied Expected Returns

June 26, 2024

We provide new empirical evidence on the intertemporal risk-return relation in the aggregate stock market. Our approach estimates the expected excess market returns from index options, avoiding reliance on noisy realized returns or specifying conditioning variables. We find a positive and statistically significant relationship between the conditional mean and variance of stock returns with this evidence being consistent across different specifications of the conditional variance. The positive risk-return relation is time varying, robust to controlling for the omitted variable bias, holds for different components of the expected return, and persists to longer horizons. Our findings suggest that the measurement of the conditional mean is critical in identifying the risk return relation.

Download

Share this post:
  • Facebook
  • Pinterest
  • Twitter
  • Linkedin
OptionMetrics Logo
  • About Us
  • Who We Serve
  • Why OptionMetrics
  • Leadership
  • Data Products
  • Equities
  • Futures
  • Signed Volume
  • Implied Beta
  • Dividend
  • Research
  • Blog
  • News & Events
  • Careers
  • Contact Us
  • Support Request
Stay Connected

dashicons-linkedin dashicons-twitter dashicons-facebook-alt

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply

© 2026 OptionMetrics, LLC. All Rights Reserved. | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | Accessibility | Site Map