• Skip to main content
  • Skip to footer

OptionMetrics

search
  • About Us
    • Who We Serve
    • Why OptionMetrics
    • Leadership
  • Data Products
    • Equities
      • United States
      • United States Intraday
      • Europe
      • Asia
      • Canada
      • ETFs
    • Futures
    • Signed Volume
    • Implied Beta
    • Dividend
      • Implied Dividend
      • Woodseer Dividend Forecasting
  • Research
  • Blog
  • News & Events
  • Careers
  • Contact

A. Jha, A. Shirvani, A. Jaffri, S. Rachev & F. Fabozzi: Greed and Fear in Investors: Dislocation via Financial Market Views

August 15, 2025

This paper develops an integrated framework reconciling rational-expectations and behavioral finance by quantifying greed and fear in option markets. Using Cumulative Prospect Theory, we estimate probability-weighting functions for short-and long-dated options, capturing distortions between market-implied and spot-market beliefs. We document significant overweighting of downside risk at short horizons and underweighting of upside potential at long horizons, driving anomalies in the term structure and implied volatility skew. These insights provide a unified explanation for the equity premium puzzle by embedding behavioral distortions within a no-arbitrage asset-pricing model. We show that behavioral features can be systematically quantified to explain market dislocations in implied premiums. (JEL Codes G12, G13, G17 G41.)

Download

Share this post:
  • Facebook
  • Pinterest
  • Twitter
  • Linkedin
OptionMetrics Logo
  • About Us
  • Who We Serve
  • Why OptionMetrics
  • Leadership
  • Data Products
  • Equities
  • Futures
  • Signed Volume
  • Implied Beta
  • Dividend
  • Research
  • Blog
  • News & Events
  • Careers
  • Contact Us
  • Support Request
Stay Connected

dashicons-linkedin dashicons-twitter dashicons-facebook-alt

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply

© 2026 OptionMetrics, LLC. All Rights Reserved. | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | Accessibility | Site Map