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M. Ammann, D. Skovmand, and M. Verhofen, “Implied and Realized Volatility in the Cross-Section of Equity Options,” (Working paper, University of St. Gallen, University of Aarhus, 1 November 2008).

M. Ammann, D. Skovmand, and M. Verhofen, “Implied and Realized Volatility in the Cross-Section of Equity Options,” (Working paper, University of St. Gallen, University of Aarhus, 1 November 2008).

Abstract: Using a complete sample of US equity options, we analyze patterns of implied volatility in the cross-section of equity options with respect to stock characteristics. We find that high-beta stocks, small stocks, stocks with a low-market-to-book ratio, and non-momentum stocks trade at higher implied volatilities after controlling for historical volatility. We find evidence that implied volatility overestimates realized volatility for low-beta stocks, small caps, low-market-to-book stocks, and stocks with no momentum and vice versa. However, we cannot reject the null hypothesis that implied volatility is an unbiased predictor of realized volatility in the cross section.